Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 25.585148 29.542552 33.821425 38.780733 44.358985 50.427836 57.518136
2025-01-19 17.703845 22.901547 29.074333 36.892837 46.473884 57.770559 72.030725
2025-01-26 14.824100 20.933686 28.726282 39.269401 53.018338 70.181918 93.047492
2025-02-02 13.320468 20.209718 29.519008 42.791579 60.960650 84.658673 117.543436
2025-02-09 11.330258 18.382877 28.435833 43.469292 64.965204 94.112495 136.028654
2025-02-16 9.597804 16.584113 27.049463 43.399255 67.716548 101.853312 152.518677
2025-02-23 8.132257 14.922399 25.582879 42.931376 69.688210 108.456787 167.660898
2025-03-02 6.987802 13.575679 24.385881 42.658321 71.796492 115.248318 183.333680
2025-03-09 6.036870 12.393727 23.276022 42.343401 73.715226 121.765355 198.862403
2025-03-16 4.889753 10.664394 21.015004 39.863710 71.922654 122.425519 205.489017
2025-03-23 4.489239 10.267450 21.002179 41.140143 76.271256 132.804815 227.534679
2025-03-30 4.232316 10.109711 21.389506 43.123371 81.905981 145.504746 253.837070
2025-04-06 3.583974 9.079017 20.094868 42.087095 82.516602 150.471472 268.718318
2025-04-13 2.928864 7.915700 18.399632 40.146459 81.415363 152.615135 279.315795
2025-04-20 2.800867 7.919558 19.040402 42.720534 88.637190 169.259919 314.897035
2025-04-27 2.784407 8.183966 20.248120 46.511735 98.367440 190.763846 359.763080
2025-05-04 2.514129 7.772538 19.955042 47.240916 102.372409 202.450561 388.405037
2025-05-11 2.219205 7.236957 19.311737 47.165771 104.797933 211.425835 412.750925
2025-05-18 1.935916 6.670393 18.514116 46.662863 106.310297 218.782184 434.546075
2025-05-25 1.702394 6.190986 17.850686 46.369332 108.191881 226.883942 458.025113
2025-06-01 1.496448 5.744968 17.202420 46.030769 109.931554 234.780838 481.470928
2025-06-08 1.210683 4.977396 15.623025 43.364045 106.558855 232.694803 486.361261
2025-06-15 1.133657 4.870359 15.750813 44.736947 111.907026 247.770505 523.998661